SBF, Ellison Thought Bitcoin Would’ve Crashed More As FTX Caved

Internal chat logs show FTX insiders discussing the price of bitcoin as the FTX scandal first sent shockwaves through crypto markets

article-image

FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried | Blockworks exclusive art by Axel Rangel

share

In the FTX saga’s earliest days, disgraced co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried was actually surprised it hadn’t impacted bitcoin more.

A complaint filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Wednesday offers a glimpse into messages shared between insiders as the platform collapsed last month.

The CFTC states that “on the evening of Nov. 6, as they monitored and reacted to the movements in FTT prices and the contagion effects on the digital asset market more broadly,” an unnamed Alameda executive said:

“I’m surprised BTC isn’t down more,” to which former Alameda Research CEO Caroline Ellison responded: “me too.”

Bankman-Fried chimed in: “yea me 3 [sic].”

While bitcoin only faltered 2% around the time of those messages, more than $230 billion was eventually wiped from collective crypto market values in the following days, a 20% reduction.

Bitcoin itself lost more than $100 billion from its market cap in the week leading up to FTX filing for bankruptcy. BTC tanked up to 25%, from $21,300 to below $16,000 at its worst on Nov. 10.

The native exchange token of FTX, FTT, was however completely obliterated, sinking more than 90% in under three days. Alameda Research was reported to have outsized exposure to FTT (and similarly illiquid tokens) on its balance sheets in the weeks leading up to FTX’s collapse.

Bitcoin fell harder following Bankman-Fried’s disbelief on Nov. 6

FTT’s death spiral followed Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao tweeting his company would liquidate its holdings, estimated to be worth more than $500 million at the time, to reduce risk associated with FTX.

“At this time, bitcoin market prices, including on US exchanges, had indeed begun to decline, likely as a direct or indirect result of the events described herein,” the CFTC said.

Ellison, alongside former FTX and Alameda chief technology officer Gary Wang pleaded guilty on Thursday to multiple counts of fraud and conspiracy. Both are reported to be cooperating with authorities moving forward, now out on bail. 

Meanwhile, Bankman-Fried is expected to be imminently extradited to US, where he’ll face his own mammoth eight-count federal criminal indictment.


Start your day with top crypto insights from David Canellis and Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter.

Explore the growing intersection between crypto, macroeconomics, policy and finance with Ben Strack, Casey Wagner and Felix Jauvin. Subscribe to the Forward Guidance newsletter.

Get alpha directly in your inbox with the 0xResearch newsletter — market highlights, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, and more.

The Lightspeed newsletter is all things Solana, in your inbox, every day. Subscribe to daily Solana news from Jack Kubinec and Jeff Albus.

Tags

Upcoming Events

Javits Center North | 445 11th Ave

Tues - Thurs, March 18 - 20, 2025

Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.

recent research

Unlocked by Template.jpg

Research

The BitcoinOS team is the first to have developed and posted a ZK-compressed proof on the Bitcoin network. Other proof verification efforts have been limited to the Signet or testnet deployments. Their work has resulted in the development of BitSNARK, a software library for ZK-compressed fraud proofs on the Bitcoin network. The project aims to provide a horizontal scaling solution, offering a one-stop shop for teams interested in developing a rollup on Bitcoin. This approach shares similarities with the horizontal tech stack scaling in other ecosystems like Cosmos and Optimism, particularly in its focus on simplified verification, bridging standards, and lightweight interoperability.

/

article-image

A16z’s State of Crypto report shows that DeFi has the largest number of daily active addresses, with stablecoins following closely behind

article-image

G2 is delivering real-world performance breakthroughs at 50-100 Mgas/s, Conduit says

article-image

World Liberty Financial’s token sale debuted just as an absurd AI-fueled memecoin captured crypto’s attention

article-image

Coinbase hired History Associates in 2023 to assist in retrieving records from the SEC and FDIC

article-image

Hours after pledging to support Black men’s rights to safely invest in crypto, VP Harris’s Monday night speech mentioned blockchain zero times